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Pagasa to faucet AI for extra frequent, longer-term climate forecasts

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Pagasa to tap AI for more frequent, longer-term weather forecasts

As a substitute of each three hours computation, DOST Sec. Renato Solidum Jr, mentioned Pagasa, using AI, would now have the ability to present a forecast of each quarter-hour. —Picture from Pagasa web site

MANILA, Philippines — The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Providers Administration (Pagasa) will quickly use synthetic intelligence (AI) in climate forecasting, the Division of Science and Know-how (DOST) mentioned on Wednesday.

Science and Know-how Secretary Renato Solidum Jr. made the remarks through the Senate deliberations on the 2025 proposed price range of the DOST and its connected companies, which incorporates the state climate bureau.

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“Quickly we are going to [use], by way of our analysis program, synthetic intelligence in climate forecasting. So as an alternative of each three hours computation, our goal is to supply a forecast each quarter-hour,” he mentioned.

READ: AI beat typical climate forecasting for the primary time

Solidum mentioned AI would assist Pagasa forecast the climate for the subsequent 14 days as an alternative of the present 5 days.

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“As soon as we’re in a position to develop the AI-improved climate forecast, for instance, our goal is quarter-hour, however each 5 days, Pagasa releases a rain forecast [and] we wish to make that 14 days with using AI,” he mentioned.

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Massive distinction

Sen. Juan Miguel Zubiri, who presided over the listening to, expressed concern why the forecasts in sure components of the nation had been inaccurate.

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In accordance with Solidum, it’s simpler to forecast the climate in a continent in comparison with an archipelago.

“There’s a massive distinction between continental meteorology and meteorology in an archipelago just like the Philippines. We’ve many water techniques and plenty of sources of climate techniques due to the archipelagic meter,” Solidum mentioned.

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The state climate bureau, he added, practices “impact-based forecasting.”

“As a substitute of simply figuring out if it can rain, this method establishes the results of the rain in order that [a] appropriate response may be made,” he mentioned.

In accordance with Solidum, the nation wants at most 21 Doppler radars, that are used to detect rainfall.

Pagasa Administrator Nathaniel Servando mentioned that 11 of the 19 Doppler radars had been operational. Some had been broken whereas the others had been due for alternative, he added.

Multiagency collaboration

In the course of the listening to, Senate Majority Chief Francis Tolentino known as on the DOST to collaborate with different authorities companies in addressing the nation’s urgent flood management issues and different challenges, similar to the continued African swine fever outbreak.



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Tolentino mentioned the DOST’s technical experience and progressive options might play a major position in fixing complicated points associated to agriculture, flood administration and environmental sustainability.



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