Saturday’s qualifying session on the Components 1 Spanish Grand Prix delivered one of many extra thrilling hours in latest reminiscence. A back-and-forth combat for pole place noticed Max Verstappen put his RB20 on provisional pole within the closing seconds of Q3, however Lando Norris snatched P1 from his good friend on the dying, capturing pole place by simply two-hundredths of a second.
How did Norris pull off the win, and what may Saturday’s outcomes inform us about Sunday?
Let’s dive into the information a bit, due to our mates at F1-Tempo. First we will have a look at the “observe dominance” map, highlighting the place every automotive was sooner on their last laps in Q3. As you may anticipate given latest historical past, the RB20 was sooner on the straights — notably the lengthy straight popping out of Flip 14 and again to the beginning/end line — whereas the MCL38 was faster by means of a few of the corners:
As you may see Norris — highlighted within the orange — was faster notably in Sector 1, which incorporates the preliminary chicane popping out of the lengthy straight in addition to the sweeping nook popping out of Flip 3 and heading into Repsol at Flip 4.
However on the straighter parts of the observe, and the lengthy straight itself, Verstappen was sooner.
Verstappen additionally posted the best velocity on that lengthy straight, a mark of 329 kilometers per hour. As you may see on this subsequent picture, that got here close to the top of the straight, heading into Flip 1. By comparability, Norris was 5 kph slower at that time:
Trying on the delta between the 2 automobiles at that time, Verstappen had an edge on the lap of 0.054 seconds per Norris at that time, popping out of that lengthy straight:
Then because the automobiles hit Flip 1, Verstappen’s benefit was as much as 0.125 seconds:
However as you may see from that above graph, Norris then constructed a lead as Sector 1 got here to a detailed and Sector 2 started, and he held that lead all through the remainder of the lap, keeping off a late problem from Verstappen popping out of Flip 14 and again to the beginning/end line (extra on that in a second).
Norris constructed that lead by means of Turns 3, 4, and 5. As you may see from the preliminary “observe dominance” map, Norris was faster from Flip 3 into Flip 4, and whereas Verstappen had an edge from Flip 4 into Flip 5, Norris constructed a lead he wouldn’t give again. In reality, by the point each automobiles got here out of Flip 5 Norris had gone from being 0.125 seconds down at one level, to being up 0.167 seconds on his good friend and rival:
And should you have a look at the whole delta graph, whereas Verstappen was capable of. shut that hole over the remainder of the lap, he couldn’t make up the distinction.
Nevertheless, there’s something to notice relating to the ultimate flip, Flip 14, as alluded to above. Check out the throttle knowledge for that last flip:
As you may see, whereas Norris lifted only a bit heading into Flip 14, Verstappen was capable of hold the hammer down by means of the ultimate flip, giving him an enormous run of momentum into the lengthy straight and again to the beginning/end line.
That has led to some believing that Verstappen is primed for an excellent greater Sunday:
Flip 14 reveals Ferrari’s weak spot (which is RedBull’s power)
Ferrari has much less downforce than the others➡️LEC lifted considerably (72% throttle, 267km/h)
HAM and NOR solely wanted a tiny raise… however VER remained full throttle! His superior downforce reveals a race-focused… pic.twitter.com/dKOF08O8AZ
— Components Information Evaluation (@FDataAnalysis) June 22, 2024
Might Flip 14 be the distinction tomorrow?
We’ll know quickly sufficient.