The Open: Prime 50 gamers at Royal Troon, ranked by probabilities to win

The world’s finest gamers have descended upon Royal Troon for The 152nd Open Championship, the ultimate main of the season. This course final hosted golf’s oldest main in 2016, when Henrik Stenson fended off Phil Mickelson in a historic duel for the ages.

Stenson prevailed at 20-under-par that 12 months, an Open document, whereas Mickelson completed three strokes behind at 17-under. Remarkably, the third-place finisher, J.B. Holmes, posted a 6-under-par rating, 13 strokes again of Stenson. Solely 17 gamers completed below par that week, a testomony to Troon’s issue and the way effectively Stenson and Mickelson performed.

This week could not see scores that low, because the forecast requires inclement climate on Thursday and Friday. However no matter what the climate does, all of it comes right down to the wind, which performs a large function at Royal Troon because it sits alongside the Firth of Clyde.

So, to assist break down the match, we ranked the highest 50 gamers on this week’s area, ranked by their probabilities of profitable the Claret Jug:

50. Jordan Spieth

Ah, the curious case of Jordan Spieth, the person with an otherworldly quick sport who received the 2017 Open Championship at Royal Birkdale. However he has seemed like something however a serious championship contender in 2024, lacking the lower on the Masters and tying for forty third and forty first on the PGA Championship and U.S. Open, respectively. His iron play has been a problem these days, which explains why he missed the lower finally week’s Genesis Scottish Open. However his putter let him down, too.

Picture by Charlie Crowhurst/R&A by way of Getty Photos

49. Harris English

Harris English had a strong begin to the season, posting 4 straight top-25 finishes in February and March. However the former Georgia Bulldog has struggled since then, recording solely two prime 25s, which, humorous sufficient, got here at Augusta and Valhalla.

48. Thomas Detry

Thomas Detry has performed effectively in each main championship begins this season, tying for fourth at Valhalla and 14th on the U.S. Open. He additionally tied for thirteenth at Royal Liverpool at The Open a 12 months in the past, as he had a well-rounded efficiency that week. Detry can also be a terrific putter and might be an important choose to complete within the prime 10 at Royal Troon.

47. Adam Hadwin

Adam Hadwin final made the lower at The Open in 2019 and tied for 57th at Royal Portrush. He doesn’t have one of the best document within the British Isles, as evidenced by his current T-34 on the Genesis Scottish Open. However the Canadian is a strong putter, which all the time helps.

46. Tom Hoge

Tom Hoge, the most effective ball strikers on the PGA Tour, has had an up-and-down stretch as of late. He missed the lower on the U.S. Open, tied for third on the Vacationers, after which didn’t make the weekend on the Genesis Scottish Open. Hoge missed the lower in each of his Open appearances.

45. Si Woo Kim

After a poor weekend on the greens at Valhalla, Si Woo Kim has rallied to make 5 straight cuts, along with his finest end being a T-15 on the Memorial. Kim does the whole lot effectively from tee to inexperienced, however placing has been his downfall this season. He missed the lower at Hoylake final 12 months.

44. Christiaan Bezuidenhout

The South African withdrew throughout the second spherical of the Genesis Scottish Open as a consequence of an undisclosed harm, which ought to trigger some concern. However the newest phrase is that he’ll play this week at Royal Troon. Earlier than his WD, he made 4 consecutive cuts, which included a solo fourth end on the Memorial and a T-32 on the U.S. Open.

43. J.T. Poston

J.T. Poston ranks tenth on the PGA Tour in driving accuracy proportion, which helps clarify why he has made 5 straight cuts. Poston can also be a strong putter, so if he can hit his approaches nearer to the opening, he might be a longshot contender this week.

42. Dean Burmester

Dean Burmester will play in his third straight main championship at Royal Troon after tying for twelfth at Valhalla and ending in solo 69th at Pinehurst No. 2. He didn’t qualify for final 12 months’s Open at Royal Liverpool however did so in 2021 and 2022, ending T-40 and T-11, respectively. Burmester can hit the ball a mile, however the query across the LIV golfer revolves round his accuracy and quick sport.

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41. Byeong Hun An

Byeong Hun An is likely one of the longest hitters on the PGA Tour, however he has struggled to maintain it in play these days. Two missed cuts on the U.S. Open and the Genesis Scottish Open have An seeking to bounce again in a giant manner at Royal Troon.

40. Sepp Straka

A poor week on the Genesis Scottish Open has Sepp Straka trending downward, however he’s a really correct participant off the tee and into the greens—a should for Royal Troon. Straka has 4 prime 10s this season and tied for sixteenth at Augusta, his finest end in a serious this 12 months.

39. Min Woo Lee

Min Woo Lee just lately tied for second on the Rocket Mortgage Traditional however couldn’t replicate that success on the Genesis Scottish Open, ending in 73rd. He has struggled along with his iron play and accuracy off the tee, but when he can keep away from Royal Troon’s bunkers and never make grave errors, Lee has the sport to vie for the Claret Jug.

38. Jason Day

The Aussie has struggled over the previous month or so, along with his finest outcome being a T-23 on the John Deere Traditional—a match that didn’t boast a powerful area. Regardless of his current slide, Day has the sport to contend at, and presumably win, The Open.

37. Cameron Younger

Two straight top-10 finishes for Cameron Younger have him trending in the correct route as he nonetheless eyes his first profession PGA Tour victory. However maybe it comes this week, as Younger has completed solo second and T-8 within the final two Opens. If he can gap some putts and keep his focus, maybe the Claret Jug will head again throughout the pond in Younger’s possession.

Picture by Joseph Weiser/Getty Photos

36. Max Homa

Max Homa has fallen off a cliff since tying for third on the Masters, posting just one top-10 end—a T-8 at Quail Hole. His final three begins: a missed lower on the U.S. Open, T-63 in Connecticut, and a T-70 on the Renaissance Membership.

35. Denny McCarthy

An uncharacteristic week on the greens led to Denny McCarthy’s missed lower on the Genesis Scottish Open. However hopefully, for his sake, he will get a greater understanding of the tempo at Royal Troon. Even one of the best putters on the planet have off weeks.

34. Louis Oosthuizen

Louis Oosthuizen has not performed in a serious but this 12 months, but right here he’s. In December, he received twice on the DP World Tour in his native South Africa. He additionally has 5 top-10s on LIV Golf this season, most just lately ending fourth in Andalucía. The 2010 Champion Golfer of the Yr loves enjoying hyperlinks golf, so it ought to shock nobody if he contends in The Open once more.

33. Justin Thomas

Justin Thomas had the golf world buzzing on Thursday after he started the Genesis Scottish Open with a bogey-free, 8-under 62. However then he stumbled over the weekend, ending the match at 4-under and in a tie for 62nd—a microcosm of Thomas’ season, which has featured 5 prime 10s however two missed cuts at Augusta and Pinehurst.

32. Davis Thompson

Davis Thompson blitzed TPC Deere Run to win the John Deere Traditional with a record-low rating of 28-under-par. However he got here again to Earth this previous week with a T-46 on the John Deere Traditional.

31. Aaron Rai

Aaron Rai was not in The 152nd Open Championship area as of Sunday morning. However his robust T-4 end on the Genesis Scottish Open awarded him with a visit to Royal Troon, and rightfully so. Rai is trending in the correct route, posting 5 straight top-20 finishes, together with a tie for second in Detroit.

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30. Sungjae Im

Should you take the most important championships away, Sungjae Im has had a exceptional season. He has six prime 10s and 10 prime 25 finishes total, however he someway missed the lower in every of the three majors. Go determine. But, Im has an outstanding quick sport, a much-needed attribute for The Open.

29. Keegan Bradley

Keegan Bradley final made a lower at The Open in 2018 however completed in 79th. Nonetheless, the newly minted Ryder Cup captain could have some fireplace in his stomach, realizing that he’s the person to steer the People subsequent 12 months.

28. Matthew Fitzpatrick

The Englishman tied for fifth on the Memorial, primarily as a consequence of a final-round 3-under 69, however has not performed effectively since then. He barely made the lower on the U.S. Open and didn’t contend in Connecticut and in Scotland, however Fitzpatrick nonetheless has the sport to contend at Troon.

27. Shane Lowry

The 2019 Champion Golfer of the Yr has performed effectively as of late, tying for nineteenth on the U.S. Open and ninth on the Vacationers Championship. He has additionally demonstrated the flexibility to go low, taking pictures a 62 at Valhalla and TPC River Highlands. Perhaps one other low spherical—and a Claret Jug—is on the horizon for the Irishman.

26. Adam Scott

Adam Scott posted his finest end in nearly three years on the Genesis Scottish Open, so maybe that may function a harbinger of issues to come back this week. He practically received the 2012 Open at Royal Lytham and St. Anne’s however bogeyed the ultimate 4 holes to lose to Ernie Els by a stroke. That’s effectively prior to now, nevertheless, and Scott is as optimistic as ever concerning the state of his sport now.

25. Akshay Bhatia

Since tying for twenty second on the Memorial, Akshay Bhatia has performed splendidly. He tied for sixteenth on the U.S. Open and completed within the prime 5 on the Vacationers Championship and Rocket Mortgage Traditional. A 3-putt on the 72nd inexperienced sealed his destiny in Detroit, however Bhatia has the sport to vie for an Open title.

24. Tom Kim

Tom Kim nearly took down the top-ranked participant on the planet on the Vacationers Championship and likewise confirmed that he has the heart to deal with stress down the stretch. He tied for second at Hoylake final 12 months and has made the lower in any respect three majors this 12 months.

Picture by Warren Little/Getty Photos

23. Russell Henley

Russell Henley has quietly put collectively a strong season however has not threatened the winner’s circle. Henley has struggled in The Open all through his profession, however you’ll be able to by no means say by no means. He has a terrific quick sport.

22. Sahith Theegala

Sahith Theegala most just lately tied for fourth on the Genesis Scottish Open, primarily as a consequence of a putter that cooperated. If his flat stick can keep sizzling, be careful for Theegala at Royal Troon. But when his driver will get erratic, he will probably be a non-factor—lots of variance in prospects right here.

21. Robert MacIntyre

Perhaps Robert MacIntyre would rank larger on this listing if not for his huge celebration after his electrical Scottish Open victory. All jokes apart, MacIntyre has all the arrogance on the planet going into Royal Troon, so who says he couldn’t go back-to-back?

20. Sam Burns

After three weeks off, Sam Burns arrives in Scotland feeling refreshed and able to go, very similar to his good good friend Scottie Scheffler. However Burns has struggled in his three Open appearances, along with his finest end being a T-42 at St. Andrews in 2022.

19. Wyndham Clark

Wyndham Clark has had a poor main marketing campaign in 2024, lacking a pair of cuts earlier than tying for 56th on the U.S. Open. However perhaps his back-door prime 10 on the Genesis Scottish Open, the place he shot a ultimate spherical 8-under 62, will give him a spark.

18. Brian Harman

Brian Harman has not received since he decimated Royal Liverpool a 12 months in the past. Nonetheless, the previous Georgia Bulldog has had a strong run since his missed lower at The Masters. He most just lately tied for twenty first on the Scottish Open and likewise tied for ninth at Pinehurst.

Picture by Luke Walker/R&A by way of Getty Photos

17. Brooks Koepka

Brooks Koepka has 4 top-10 finishes at The Open, however he tied for sixty fourth a 12 months in the past and missed the lower the 12 months earlier than final at St. Andrews. Nonetheless, Koepka is a 5-time main champion, and it might shock no one if he hoisted the Claret Jug on Sunday.

16. Corey Conners

Corey Conners has performed regular golf all season, making each lower. His finest outcome got here on the U.S. Open, the place he tied for ninth, however Conners arrives in Scotland searching for extra. He has the sport to win a Claret Jug, and after making three straight cuts at The Open, perhaps that is his week.

15. Joaquin Niemann

Earlier within the 12 months, Joaquin Niemann was arguably the most popular participant on the planet. Nonetheless, the younger Chilean has struggled in main all through his profession, along with his finest outcome coming at The 2023 Masters, when he tied for sixteenth. Maybe that adjustments this week.

14. Hideki Matsuyama

Hideki Matsuyama couldn’t discover a groove on the greens, which explains why he missed the lower on the Genesis Scottish Open. In any other case, he has had a strong season, along with his finest main end being a solo sixth at Pinehurst. Matsuyama additionally tied for thirteenth at Royal Liverpool final 12 months.

13. Viktor Hovland

Viktor Hovland seemed like the most effective gamers on the planet one 12 months in the past when he received the FedEx Cup in Atlanta. However he has struggled along with his quick sport this season, which has produced a scatterplot of outcomes. He missed the lower at Augusta and Pinehurst however someway sandwiched a T-3 in between at Valhalla.

12. Tony Finau

A terrific ball striker, Tony Finau’s finest end at The Open got here in 2019 at Royal Portrush, the place he completed solo third. He missed the lower at Royal Liverpool final 12 months however just lately posted a T-3 outcome at Pinehurst No. 2. He then tied for fifth on the Vacationers in his newest begin.

11. Cameron Smith

Cameron Smith has three prime 10s in majors since his triumph on the Previous Course two years in the past. He has the most effective quick video games on the planet, which might carry him to victory this week.

10. Tommy Fleetwood

A preferred choose this week, Tommy Fleetwood has not missed a lower because the Arnold Palmer Invitational in early March. Fleetwood’s sport matches up effectively with hyperlinks golf, as evidenced by his three prime 10s within the 4 earlier Opens. He tied for tenth at Hoylake final 12 months.

9. Patrick Cantlay

After lacking the lower on the Memorial, Patrick Cantlay posted his finest profession end in a serious, tying for third at Pinehurst No. 2. He then posted a T-5 end on the Vacationers Championship and arrives in Scotland contemporary and in type.

8. Jon Rahm

After lacking the U.S. Open as a consequence of a foot harm, Jon Rahm returns to main championship golf after a pair of prime 10s on LIV Golf. He missed the lower at Valhalla and tied for forty fifth at Augusta Nationwide, so something in need of that this week will little doubt frustrate the Spaniard and result in extra questions on his resolution to affix LIV final December.

Picture by Stuart Franklin/R&A by way of Getty Photos

7. Ludvig Åberg

Ludvig Åberg held the 36 and 54-hole lead on the Genesis Scottish Open however struggled on Sunday to tie for fourth. Nonetheless, he has the sport to contend and win on any course, as nothing appears to faze the 24-year-old.

6. Tyrrell Hatton

The Englishman has made the lower in any respect three majors to date this season, along with his finest end being a T-9 at Augusta Nationwide. He additionally tied for fifth on the 2016 Open, the final time Royal Troon hosted, and arrives in Ayrshire contemporary off a LIV Golf win in Nashville and a T-3 end in Andalucía.

5. Collin Morikawa

Collin Morikawa has had an excellent season as his ball-striking seems to have returned to its top-tier type—the shape that received him a pair of majors in 2020 and 2021. That stated, he has struggled to shut out tournaments in 2024, however Morikawa can simply win a second Claret Jug this week.

4. Xander Schauffele

Xander Schauffele stays in strong type two months after his main breakthrough at Valhalla. He has posted 4 straight top-20 finishes, along with his finest outcome coming on the U.S. Open, as he tied for seventh. Schauffele most just lately completed T-15 on the Genesis Scottish Open.

3. Rory McIlroy

After his heartbreaking end on the U.S. Open final month, Rory McIlroy rebounded properly on the Genesis Scottish Open. If his putter can cooperate all through the week, McIlroy will probably be an element ultimately.

2. Bryson DeChambeau

Bryson DeChambeau’s finest Open Championship end got here two years in the past at St. Andrews, the place he tied for eighth. However now he arrives because the U.S. Open champion, seeking to win back-to-back majors. No one has performed higher within the majors this 12 months than DeChambeau.

1. Scottie Scheffler

A win at Royal Troon would cap a historic season for Scottie Scheffler, who has already received The Masters, The Gamers, and 4 Signature Occasions. His final begin got here on the Vacationers Championship, the place he bested his good pal Tom Kim in a playoff. Scheffler arrives in Scotland contemporary and able to vie for the Claret Jug.

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Jack Milko is a golf employees author for SB Nation’s Enjoying By. Make sure you take a look at @_PlayingThrough for extra golf protection. You possibly can observe him on Twitter @jack_milko as effectively.