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3 NFL upset picks for Week 11

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Week 11 of the 2024 NFL season is right here, and it gives an incredible slate of video games for followers.

The early Sunday window sees an enormous recreation within the AFC North between the Baltimore Ravens and the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Sunday slate additionally options intriguing video games between the Chicago Bears and the Inexperienced Bay Packers, in addition to the sport between the Atlanta Falcons and the Denver Broncos.

Then there may be the titanic conflict between the Kansas Metropolis Chiefs and the Buffalo Payments.

Will we see any upsets this week? Listed below are some video games the workers at SB Nation are eying.

New England Patriots (+5) over Los Angeles Rams

Sure buddies, that is a completely disgusting homer choice.

However the hope is again in New England in terms of the Patriots.

Drake Maye’s dramatic landing on the ultimate play of regulation two weeks in the past in opposition to the Tennessee Titans was the primary spark of pleasure, and whereas that recreation ended with Maye throwing an interception in extra time in a New England loss, final weekend in opposition to the Chicago Bears was a unique story. Maye threw a landing on the offensive facet of the ball, and his defensive teammates flustered fellow rookie quarterback Caleb Williams in New England’s 19-3 win.

Now the Patriots are welcoming in Matthew Stafford and the Rams, as they make the cross-country journey to play within the early Sunday window. That could be a recipe for an upset in my e-book.

—Mark Schofield

Washington Commanders (+4.5) over Philadelphia Eagles

Did everybody simply overlook how good the Commanders are? This group solely misplaced by one level to an excellent Steelers group, and I generally tend to assume that a significant factor in that loss was Brian Robinson Jr. being out damage, their main rusher.

I’m not saying that is going to be a simple recreation, however there’s little or no to make me imagine that the Eagles are value something greater than the usual residence recreation +3 line. On the very least I believe this might be one other one level recreation, and reality be informed I truly assume Washington will go in and win this one.

The Kliff Kingsbury unfold is brutal to defend in opposition to, and regardless that Philly’s move protection is stellar I can’t shake the sensation that this one may shock them.

— James Dator

Atlanta Falcons (+2.5) over Denver Broncos

This recreation may actually go both means, however I’m a giant fan of what the Falcons have on offense. They face a troublesome Broncos’ protection, however it’s additionally a protection that has been vulnerable to receptions by working backs (twenty second in DVOA in opposition to RBs, prime 10 in opposition to each different ability place). Atlanta has a power of nature in RB Bijan Robinson and a ability place group able to placing up some large numbers offensively.

On the opposite facet of the ball, I fear about QB Bo Nix in opposition to a group that’s predicated on capitalizing on errors. Nix has performed effectively not too long ago, displaying loads of progress in areas I used to be involved in for his progress. Now, he goes up in opposition to an Atlanta group with no true move rush. Nevertheless, safeties Jessie Bates and Justin Simmons will give him issues, and I believe they power a mistake out of him.

— JP Acosta

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